We announced a few weeks ago the news of a new PS4 motherboard, pointing out that this new motherboard was not a big hardware revision such as the PS4 slim. The PS4 launched half a year ago, and people are already wondering if a PS4 slim is in the works from Sony. Given that all their previous consoles have had a “slim” hardware revision in the past 10 years, it is fairly risk free to bet that a PS4 slim will eventually see the light of day.
PS4 slim might have a release date
The question everybody asks however is: when will the PS4 slim be released, what is the PS4 slim launch date?
Looking at the history of the Playstation brand, I think I can pretty much guess when the PS4 slim will release. Bear with me as I bore you with a bunch of numbers:
The PS2 Launched in March 2000. The PS2 Slim launched 55 months later, in September 2004.
The PSP Launched in December 2004, its slim counterpart was released in September 2007, 34 months later.
The PS3 was released in November 2006, its slim version launched 35 months later, in September 2009
The PS Vita launched (in Japan) in December 2011. The PS Vita slim launched 23 months later, in October 2013
What do I get from this data? First of all, the slimline revision of PlayStation products historically launches in September or October. I’m assuming the date is chosen in a way the matches as good as possible the shopping frenzy of Black Friday, which happens in November.
Secondly, as generations go by, it seems the amount of time between the first version and the slim revision tends to reduce. It was more than 4 years for the PS2, less than 3 years for the PSP and the PS3, and less than 2 years for the Vita.
Now, it’s no mystery that the Vita sales haven’t been doing so great, and it is possible that the Vita slim release was accelerated in order to try and boost the sales of our beloved handheld. But I’m going to make the bet here that we will be looking at a similar schedule for the PS4 slim.
Based on the above, I estimate that the PS4 Slim will be released around October 2015. If not, my second bet, but I think it is much more unlikely, would be September 2016.